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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
JL

Napoli
2 - 1
Juventus

Zambo Anguissa (57'), Lukaku (69' pen.)
Lobotka (72'), Spinazzola (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kolo (43')
Cambiaso (45'), Koopmeiners (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brugge 0-0 Juventus
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Napoli 1-0 Juventus

Such has been their resilience and will-to-win under ex-Juve man Antonio Conte, Napoli can finally end the Bianconeri's Serie A unbeaten streak. Juventus boast plenty of talent across the final third, but they often fail to fire, while their hosts are generally rock-solid at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawJuventus
48.89% (-1.914 -1.91) 25.76% (0.474 0.47) 25.35% (1.438 1.44)
Both teams to score 49.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.695 -0.7)53.44% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.592 -0.59)74.97% (0.592 0.59)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-1.107 -1.11)21.88% (1.106 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (-1.709 -1.71)55.13% (1.708 1.71)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.897 0.9)36.16% (-0.895 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05% (0.898 0.9)72.95% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 48.88%
    Juventus 25.35%
    Draw 25.76%
NapoliDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.406 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.259 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.3 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 25.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atalanta 2-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, December 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-3 Napoli
Saturday, December 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brugge 0-0 Juventus
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, January 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Juventus
Saturday, January 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-2 AC Milan
Friday, January 3 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 29 at 5pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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