SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
47.04% ( -1.06) | 25.71% ( 0.18) | 27.25% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( -0.14) | 51.95% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( -0.13) | 73.69% ( 0.13) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0.53) | 22.08% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( -0.81) | 55.43% ( 0.81) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.63) | 33.79% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% ( 0.68) | 70.45% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 47.04% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.25% |
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