Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.