Napoli are ending the campaign in good form and depending on how strong Luciano Spalletti decides to go with his team selection, they should finish with three points here. With their survival confirmed, Spezia are unlikely to provide that much of a challenge.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
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