With some influential names missing from this Napoli squad, they are heading somewhat into the unknown this season. However, with Verona under new leadership, we feel that the visitors should have enough quality to edge what should prove to be a tight contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.05) 
