SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Inter Milan |
38.68% ( -0.25) | 24.5% ( 0.01) | 36.82% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0.04) | 43.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( -0.04) | 65.71% ( 0.04) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.14) | 22.34% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( -0.21) | 55.82% ( 0.21) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( 0.1) | 23.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% ( 0.15) | 57.23% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.82% |
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