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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
IL

Spezia
2 - 1
Inter Milan

Maldini (55'), N'Zola (87' pen.)
Gyasi (6'), Caldara (12'), Nikolaou (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (83' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Inter Milan

While they have had challenges on the road of late, Inter have had almost a week to prepare for the visit to Spezia and have time to recover for next week's Champions League clash, thus allowing Inzaghi's team to go full throttle in both fixtures. The Aquilotti are still unbeaten under Semplici, but they are unlikely to be a match for the Nerazzurri on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
12.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 16.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 70.73% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.44% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.022000000000006 0.02)34.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)56.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)8.6% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.29% (0.02000000000001 0.02)29.71% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 12.41%
    Inter Milan 70.72%
    Draw 16.87%
SpeziaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 12.41%
1-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.43%
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.87%
0-2 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 2.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-5 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 70.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Spezia
Sunday, February 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Spezia
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Porto
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Inter Milan
Monday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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