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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
JL

Inter Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Barella (30'), Brozovic (90+7'), D'Ambrosio (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kostic (23')
Gatti (31'), Rabiot (71'), Danilo (88'), Paredes (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Juventus

Inter have lost three of their last six Serie A matches following Champions League fixtures - including both of their last two - but they have had two days more to recover from their travels than Juventus. In their final game before the international break, both sides will empty the tank in pursuit of Derby d'Italia glory, and there could well be a share of the spoils after an absorbing encounter at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
52.56% (1.182 1.18) 25.44% (-0.114 -0.11) 22.01% (-1.067 -1.07)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.91200000000001 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.97% (-0.561 -0.56)55.03% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7% (-0.463 -0.46)76.3% (0.465 0.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (0.26600000000001 0.27)20.96% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (0.416 0.42)53.72% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (-1.36 -1.36)40.16% (1.36 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (-1.264 -1.26)76.8% (1.265 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.55%
    Juventus 22.01%
    Draw 25.44%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.379 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.55%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.42% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 22.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Porto
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Freiburg 0-2 Juventus
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Sampdoria
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Juventus
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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