Often a tempestuous affair, the most recent Derby d'Italia saw both teams have a man sent off at the end as scuffles broke out, so bad blood may affect how Tuesday's game plays out. There is every chance that red could be flashed again, as 1-0 specialists Juventus take a slim lead to Milan following a cautious first leg.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
2.25) 
-2.34) 
