We expect Salernitana to hold Lecce at arms length and find a second league win of the season.
The investment in their playing staff during the summer has clearly paid off by making them tougher to beat, but the hosts must prove that they can consistently beat teams who they are expected to finish above in the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
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