Given neither side has proved prolific in the opening weeks, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards: in 2022, no team has drawn more matches than Salernitana's nine in Serie A, and they may find that tally grows to double figures on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.11) 
