With neither team showing any kind of form heading into this contest, it is difficult to pick a winner with any degree of certainty. That leads us to opt for a low-scoring draw, one which would suit the home side rather than the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.08) 
