MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 20:34:06
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Thursday, March 28
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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 17, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
SL

Cagliari
3 - 1
Sampdoria

Pedro (4', 90+4'), Caceres (74')
Carboni (13'), Deiola (55'), Strootman (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thorsby (82')
Thorsby (51'), Yoshida (59')
D'Aversa (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSampdoria
42.63%26.48%30.89%
Both teams to score 51.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.74%53.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19%74.81%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25%24.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69%59.31%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26%31.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84%68.17%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 42.62%
    Sampdoria 30.89%
    Draw 26.47%
CagliariDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 42.62%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 7.86%
2-2 @ 5.04%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.89%

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