Samp have scored in just one of their last six games, while Bologna have hardly been prolific during 2023 to date. A close contest is to be expected, then, but it could finally be the day that the Blucerchiati faithful see their unstinting support rewarded with maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.