In addition to holding one of Italy's best away records, Lazio have kept 11 clean sheets already, so are particularly hard to breach. Even if a revitalised Verona can score at some stage, the visitors have the capacity to strike more than once themselves and should post their third league win from four games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
0.67) 
-0.9) 
