SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
49.58% ( -0.58) | 23.36% ( 0.23) | 27.05% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0.78) | 41.98% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.61% ( -0.79) | 64.39% ( 0.79) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( -0.5) | 17.09% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.72% ( -0.9) | 47.27% ( 0.9) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.15) | 28.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( -0.19) | 64.53% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.03% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.05% |
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