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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
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Spezia
1 - 2
Genoa

N'Zola (10')
Erlic (2'), Chabot (5'), Terzi (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Destro (16'), Criscito (73' pen.)
Pandev (33'), Ghiglione (43'), Destro (70'), Zajc (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawGenoa
45.43%25.56%29.01%
Both teams to score 53.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65%50.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71%72.29%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86%22.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48%55.52%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4%31.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32%68%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 45.42%
    Genoa 29.01%
    Draw 25.56%
SpeziaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.42%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06%
1-2 @ 7%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.01%

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