Pitching together two of the lowest-scoring teams outside the bottom three, this fixture is surely bound for a close-fought draw. Even though Spezia are the team to have faced the most shots in Serie A this season, timid Torino have landed only a league-low 97 on target themselves, so a goalfest is not on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Spezia
59.19%	22.06%	18.74%

Both teams to score 52.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48%

45.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15%

67.85%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52%

43.48%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87%

38.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11%

74.89%

Score Analysis

Torino 59.19%

Spezia 18.74%

Draw 22.06%

Torino	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.51% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.17% 5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.19%	1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.06%	0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.74%