While Udinese have attempted the most shots in Serie A since the winter break, and at least 11 more than any other side, they have struggled for goals of late - and Torino are not the easiest nut to crack. For that reason, a low-scoring contest may be edged by the hosts, who would then overhaul their visitors in the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
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