Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
