Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Bari had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Bari
40.64% ( -0.33)	28.96% ( 0.09)	30.4% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 44.08% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.63% (

-0.24)

62.36% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.99% (

-0.18)

82% (

0.17)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

-0.31)

30.12% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

-0.38)

66.26% (

0.37)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08% (

0.05)

36.92% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

0.05)

73.71% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 40.63%

Bari 30.4%

Draw 28.94%

Ascoli	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 40.63%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.94%	0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 30.4%