Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 59.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
