Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
0.43) 
-0.53) 
