Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.11) 
