Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.3) 
