SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Benevento |
43.24% ( -0.45) | 26.86% ( 0.23) | 29.89% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.88% ( -0.79) | 55.12% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% ( -0.65) | 76.37% ( 0.65) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( -0.58) | 25.27% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.97% ( -0.8) | 60.03% ( 0.8) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.25) | 33.42% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.28) | 70.05% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| SPAL | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.89% |
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