Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 26.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
1.11) 
-0.35) 
