Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Brescia
33.83% ( 0.29)	25.8% ( 0.1)	40.37% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38% (

-0.39)

49.61% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36% (

-0.35)

71.63% (

0.34)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

-0.01)

27.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.39% (

-0.01)

63.6% (

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

-0.38)

24.27% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.36% (

-0.54)

58.64% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 33.83%

Brescia 40.37%

Draw 25.79%

Cagliari	Draw	Brescia
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.83%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.37%