Neither team have scored freely this term, and it could be a close-run contest at Dall'Ara. The hosts may start favourites against Serie B opposition, but Cagliari's recent top-flight experience means they can push Bologna all the way.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
0.39) 
-0.44) 
