Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.1) 
