Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 25.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
-0.58) 
0.11) 
