Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Frosinone in this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Bari
53.04% ( -0.03)	26.28% ( -0.01)	20.67% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 43.42% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.75% (

0.08)

59.25% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.34% (

0.07)

79.66% (

-0.07)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

0.02)

22.49% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94% (

0.03)

56.05% (

-0.03)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.02% (

0.1)

43.97% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.9% (

0.08)

80.1% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 53.03%

Bari 20.68%

Draw 26.27%

Frosinone	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 53.03%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.68%