Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
