Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.23) 
