Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Ascoli
38.3% ( -0.09)	26.97% ( -0.04)	34.72% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.65% (

0.16)

54.35% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.27% (

0.13)

75.73% (

-0.14)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

0.03)

27.58% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

0.03)

63.1% (

-0.04)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

0.16)

29.73% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

0.19)

65.79% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

SPAL 38.3%

Ascoli 34.72%

Draw 26.97%

SPAL	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.3%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.72%