Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
