Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
