SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
58.14% ( 0.01) | 21.44% ( -0.23) | 20.42% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.74% ( 1.33) | 40.25% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( 1.36) | 62.62% ( -1.36) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( 0.44) | 13.6% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.26% ( 0.87) | 40.73% ( -0.88) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.97) | 33.33% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 1.06) | 69.95% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.42% |
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