Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.4) 
0.7) 
