Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Perugia |
60.05% (![]() | 23.82% (![]() | 16.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.7% (![]() | 56.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.67% (![]() | 77.33% (![]() |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% (![]() | 18.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.24% (![]() | 49.76% (![]() |
Perugia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.28% (![]() | 47.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.97% (![]() | 83.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Perugia |
1-0 @ 14.9% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.22% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.89% Total : 60.04% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.54% 1-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.12% |
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