Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Bari had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0) 
0.02) 
