SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Cittadella |
48.18% ( -0.01) | 26.96% ( 0.01) | 24.87% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.84% ( -0.02) | 58.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.18% ( -0.02) | 78.82% ( 0.02) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -0.01) | 24.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.02) | 58.56% ( 0.02) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.01) | 39.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.09% ( -0.01) | 75.91% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.46% Total : 24.87% |
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