Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Cittadella
38.64% ( 0.16)	29.09% ( -0.1)	32.26% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 44.26% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.59% (

0.31)

62.4% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.97% (

0.22)

82.03% (

-0.23)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.68% (

0.25)

31.32% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.32% (

0.29)

67.68% (

-0.3)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.44% (

0.12)

35.55% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.68% (

0.12)

72.32% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Pisa 38.64%

Cittadella 32.25%

Draw 29.08%

Pisa	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.99% Total : 38.64%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 32.25%