SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
48.94% ( 0.13) | 24.58% ( 0.06) | 26.47% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.42) | 47.85% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( -0.39) | 70.03% ( 0.39) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.41% ( -0.12) | 19.59% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% ( -0.19) | 51.53% ( 0.18) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.38) | 32.23% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( -0.42) | 68.72% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.47% |
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