SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lugano | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Basel | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Zurich | 7 | -12 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sion | 8 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Grasshopper Zurich | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Luzern | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Grasshopper Zurich win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
70.6% ( 2.97) | 17.05% ( -1.05) | 12.35% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.68% ( 0.34) | 35.32% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.65% ( 0.38) | 57.35% ( -0.37) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.09% ( 0.78) | 8.91% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.55% ( 1.84) | 30.45% ( -1.84) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( -2.58) | 40.15% ( 2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.21% ( -2.43) | 76.79% ( 2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.71)3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.59)4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.36)5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.18)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.81% Total : 70.59% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.4)0-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.05% | 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.47) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.58% Total : 12.35% |
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