SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Basel had a probability of 23.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Basel |
54.66% ( -0.07) | 22.26% ( 0.03) | 23.09% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.36% ( -0.1) | 40.64% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.98% ( -0.1) | 63.02% ( 0.1) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( -0.06) | 14.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( -0.11) | 43.13% ( 0.11) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.01) | 31.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.02) | 67.44% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 23.09% |
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