Saturday's game could potentially determine Moreirense and Tondela's race against the drop as they currently find themselves in the relegation zone. We predict they will both take a cautious approach in a bid to avoid defeat and settle for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
40.89%	26.45%	32.66%

Both teams to score 52.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41%

52.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76%

74.24%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87%

60.13%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81%

30.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65%

66.34%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 40.89%

Tondela 32.66%

Draw 26.44%

Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.89%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.66%