SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Braga |
46.53% ( 0.07) | 25.18% ( 0.01) | 28.28% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( -0.09) | 49.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( -0.08) | 71.24% ( 0.08) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( -0.01) | 21.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( -0.01) | 54.01% ( 0.01) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( -0.11) | 31.53% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( -0.13) | 67.92% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.53% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.28% |
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