SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
38.87% ( -0.17) | 27.65% ( 0.04) | 33.48% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.61% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( -0.13) | 57.13% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( -0.1) | 78% ( 0.1) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.16) | 28.58% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -0.2) | 64.38% ( 0.2) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.07% ( 0.03) | 31.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% ( 0.03) | 68.39% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.47% |
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