SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
46.17% ( -0.45) | 26.51% ( 0.09) | 27.31% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.98% ( -0.12) | 55.01% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( -0.1) | 76.28% ( 0.1) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( -0.26) | 23.79% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( -0.38) | 57.94% ( 0.38) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% ( 0.23) | 35.37% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.87% ( 0.23) | 72.13% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.32% |
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